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The information, opinions and judgments on markets, projects and currencies mentioned in this report are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.Market Summary:Against a backdrop of increasing complexity in the Middle East and a delayed interest rate cut in the U.S., Bitcoin saw its production halved for the fourth time on April 20, from 6.25 units per 10 minutes to 3.125 units per 10 minutes, and from 328,000 units to 164,000 units per year, a far-reaching halving that has made Bitcoin the only major asset class to have an annual inflation rate of less than 1%, at just 0.8%, and much lower than the 2% rate for gold, and has opened up a new chapter for the bulls in the Bitcoin market.Although the absolute number of cuts has decreased significantly compared to 4 years ago, because the number of BTC on centralized exchanges that determine the short-term pricing power of BTC has decreased to 2.29 million from 3.06 million in the previous cycle, the ratio of cuts to short-term liquidity is 7% per year, which is not proportionally smaller than the 10% in the previous cycle.Considering that the ratio of long-term holders has increased by 14% compared to 4 years ago, the deflationary impact of the halving of the market’s supply is still very large, and the four-year cuts accounted for 28% of short-term liquidity, and considering that the number of holdings of centralized exchanges will continue to decline, the number can actually be more than 30%.I believe that the rule of the super-bull market in the 18-month period after a halving of the halving of the cuts will still be reproduced.

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Although Binance, one of the world’s leading digital asset exchanges, has recently suffered legal troubles in multiple countries, the firm has received the green light to conduct business operations in two growing markets: India and Dubai.Binance has been entangled in a series of legal problems throughout the past several months. In addition to a major lawsuit from the US Department of Justice (DoJ) that saw the company punished with a multi-billion dollar fine and the removal of its CEO, Binance’s platform has also been blocked in several countries. A particularly dramatic episode was in the case of Nigeria, where two executives were detained on money laundering charges; one of these executives managed to elude his guards on a trip to a nearby mosque, and fled the country. Considering that Nigeria is one of the world’s largest countries by population, Binance’s ejection from this market seems like a particularly harsh blow.Nevertheless, despite these setbacks, Binance has taken several key steps to recover its lost ground. It was first ejected from the Republic of India in January 2024, after the country’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) became aware that the company had not officially registered with them and was not compliant with regulations for exchanges. By flouting these regulations, Binance was able to avoid a controversial 30% tax on digital assets, and as a result, Indians flocked to it; local media reported that a mind-boggling 90% of Indian nationals’ digital asset holdings were kept with Binance. Binance was not the only exchange hit with this punishment from the FIU, but it was undoubtedly the largest.However, although local media also quoted an anonymous official as saying that “there is no room for negotiations, and no global powerhouse can command special treatment, especially at the cost of exposing the country’s financial system to vulnerabilities”, the Indian government has imposed a surprisingly light penalty on the company. In addition to undertaking reforms to achieve compliance with FIU regulations and registration, Binance has been asked to pay a $2 million fine to recover the Indian market. Obviously, considering that the United States government imposed a fine of more than $4.3 billion in recent court cases, this deal is a no-brainer. Binance’s official re-opening in India has not yet been finalized, but the main breakthrough has apparently been achieved.

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